Below are projected NBA standings based on a bridge jumper's mentality.
To create these standings, each team's actual home and away margin of victory distributions are used to approximate probabilities of winning future games. These are assumed to be normally distributed with the mean and standard deviations listed below.
Eastern Conference
| Home | Away |
|---|
| | eWins | Mean | SD | Mean | SD |
|---|
| 1 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 66.86 | 14.78 | 9.49 | | |
| 2 | Boston Celtics | 61.88 | 10.20 | 9.86 | | |
| 3 | Orlando Magic | 57.72 | 9.00 | 12.69 | | |
| 4 | Atlanta Hawks | 46.60 | | -2.60 | 10.45 | |
| 5 | Miami Heat | 42.55 | 4.17 | 11.87 | | |
| 6 | Chicago Bulls | 41.67 | 4.53 | 10.70 | | |
| 7 | Philadelphia 76ers | 40.14 | | -4.12 | 10.86 | |
| 8 | Detroit Pistons | 39.45 | | -1.05 | 10.56 | |
| Indiana Pacers | 35.61 | 2.42 | 8.72 | | |
| Charlotte Bobcats | 35.28 | | -4.20 | 11.06 | |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 34.39 | | -5.08 | 12.52 | |
| New Jersey Nets | 33.54 | | -3.55 | 13.40 | |
| Toronto Raptors | 33.33 | | -6.53 | 14.33 | |
| New York Knicks | 31.46 | -1.95 | 12.75 | | |
| Washington Wizards | 19.12 | | -10.25 | 10.47 | |
Western Conference
| Home | Away |
|---|
| | eWins | Mean | SD | Mean | SD |
|---|
| 1 | Denver Nuggets | 54.37 | | 0.38 | 13.78 | |
| 2 | San Antonio Spurs | 53.58 | 4.88 | 11.76 | | |
| 3 | Houston Rockets | 53.40 | | -0.55 | 10.92 | |
| 4 | Portland Trail Blazers | 52.63 | 9.90 | 12.79 | | |
| 5 | Dallas Mavericks | 49.60 | 6.65 | 10.91 | | |
| 6 | New Orleans Hornets | 49.42 | | -1.49 | 11.33 | |
| 7 | Phoenix Suns | 45.75 | 7.10 | 14.63 | | |
| 8 | Golden State Warriors | 29.25 | | -9.07 | 12.57 | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 24.58 | -4.85 | 14.39 | | |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 23.40 | -3.55 | 12.34 | | |
| Oklahoma City | 22.50 | | -9.75 | 11.16 | |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 19.50 | -6.54 | 13.68 | | |
| Sacramento Kings | 16.42 | | -12.00 | 13.73 | |
Updated on 04-15-2009 at 09:01
Eastern